MACROECONOMICS WEEKLY UPDATE
The Philippine central bank remains prepared to tighten monetary policy if necessary due to persisting inflation challenges. Deputy Governor Francisco Dakila of Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) asserted the policymakers’ determination to steer inflation back to the central bank’s targeted range of 2 percent to 4 percent this year. In the stock market, the Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) rose by 0.45% following President Marcos’ statements on inflation and agriculture during the State of the Nation Address (Sona). Investors were also anticipating the US Federal Reserve’s potential interest rate hike. However, concerns arose among market observers regarding the lack of specific implementation details in the Sona, along with external risks like el nino and the conflict in Russia and Ukraine, leading to limited market boost. On the financial front, average rates on Treasury bills decreased across the board, as the national government successfully raised P15 billion as planned. The 91-day T-bill rate declined by 27.3 basis points to 5.6 percent, primarily attributed to the downward correction in comparable short-term Philippine BVAL yields, as highlighted by the chief economist of Rizal Commercial Banking Corp.
INDUSTRY UPDATE
ENERGY
REDC, a renewable energy power producer, had a positive start on its first day of trading, with a 0.8% increase in its share price. The company priced its initial offering at ₱5.00/share, and the market initially drove the price up to ₱5.20/share with moderately heavy trading volume. The share price reached a low of ₱5.01/share but never went below the IPO offer price, which meant the stabilization fund did not need to intervene.
REATIL
Philippine Seven (SEVN), the operator of 7-ELEVEN in the Philippines, plans to finance a 400-store expansion in 2023 with ₱3.5 bn to ₱4.0 bn after already opening 150 stores. They anticipate another successful year following revenue growth in Q1. In the previous year, they budgeted ₱2.0 bn for 300 stores but ended up opening 320. The Keepers reported promising H1 net income of ₱1.16 bn (up 18% YoY) driven by Alfonso, their market-leading brandy, surpassing pre-pandemic levels, and strong sales volume across brandy, wines, and specialty beverage segments, contributing to consolidated revenues of ₱6.5 bn (up 19% YoY).
INFRUSTRUCTURE
Holcim PH (HLCM) was suspended after significant shareholder Holderfin purchased a 9.2% stake without warning, reducing the public float below the PSE’s minimum threshold. Holderfin then conducted a tender offer to delist HLCM. The PSE rejected Holderfin’s request to lift the suspension for easy participation of minority shareholders in the tender offer. This means that that any minority shareholders that want to take advantage of this tender offer must do so privately, outside of the PSE’s system.
TELECOMMUICATION
Dito Telecommunity had the worst SIM registration performance among telcos, with a registration rate of 50.12% (7.5 million out of 14.9 million SIM cards). Globe registered 55.36% (48 million out of 86.7 million), and SMART registered 75.02% (49.7 million out of 66.3 million). unregistered SIMs will only be functional enough to register, but nothing more, and will be completely useless (permanently) by July 31.
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