Thailand Microeconomic Weekly Update #58

THAILAND MACROECONOMICS WEEKLY UPDATE

The debt situation of Thai people has taken a dire turn, with 2.67 million cases accounting for a staggering total debt of 15.99 trillion baht, currently undergoing legal processes, as reported by the National Credit Bureau (NCB) on Wednesday. Meanwhile, according to the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce (UTCC), the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) saw a slight uptick to 62.9 last month from 62.0 in December 2023, marking the sixth consecutive month of improvement. Despite this, the UTCC maintains its projection that the Thai economy will expand by 3-3.5%.

Additionally, the Cabinet recently greenlit an additional 560 billion baht ($15.7 billion US) in new borrowing for the 2024 fiscal year, supplementing the previously approved 194 billion baht. This move pushes the total borrowing to 754 billion baht or ($21.10 billion US). In another development, the government’s Digital Wallet Committee established a subcommittee aimed at preventing any violations of the handout project’s terms and conditions, as directed by Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin.

INDUSTRY 

Trading volumes are expected to be thin from the Chinese New Year Holiday season along with anticipation of Thai GDP figures.

NEW IPO

Boonthavorn Retail Corporation Public Company Limited (BOON) has initiated an initial public offering (IPO) to issue up to 320 million shares, which will represent a maximum of 25% of its total shares after the IPO. The company plans to go public on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET), with Bualuang Securities and Kasikorn Securities acting as its financial advisors. As a fully integrated retailer in the home decoration materials and equipment sector, Boonthavorn demonstrates strong growth prospects. The company offers a wide array of products, services, and distribution networks, encompassing retail stores across Thailand, Vietnam, and Cambodia, in addition to its online platforms. The proceeds from the IPO are designated for business expansion, repaying bank debts, and enhancing operational working capital. This strategic move is expected to accelerate Boonthavorn’s expansion in the home decoration retail market throughout Thailand, Vietnam, and Cambodia by capitalizing on its extensive product offerings and digital presence.

AVIATION

Thai Airways International confirmed it has placed an order for at least 45 Boeing aircraft, a move that significantly boosts Boeing amid recent scrutiny. This order, which includes options for additional jets, marks a critical step in Thai Airways’ restructuring and fleet modernization efforts. The airline aims to enhance its operational efficiency and financial flexibility without impacting its debt repayment capabilities. The new aircraft will be integrated into the fleet from 2027 to 2033, aiming to support the airline’s recovery and growth in the post-pandemic era. The total value of the aircraft deal was not disclosed. The order also came with options for additional aircraft, adding its fleet size would reach 96 jets after the acquisition. The new jets would also allow the carrier to capture enough traffic to generate at least 180 billion baht (USD 4.98 billion) in annual revenue from 2025 onwards, in line with the airline’s rehabilitation plan.

COMMERCE

The Thai Commerce Ministry is in the process of evaluating the introduction of stricter regulations to limit the entry of low-cost foreign products into the national market. Through broadening the range of products necessitating Thai Industrial Standard (TIS) certification, the ministry seeks to guarantee that imports adhere to the local criteria for quality and safety. This strategy is intended to safeguard local producers and consumers against inferior quality goods, fostering equitable competition and upholding superior product standards across Thailand. However, this initiative is currently at the proposal phase and will need additional deliberations with relevant bodies before any resolutions are made.

HEALTHCARE

The Thai government is preparing to introduce measures aimed at promoting artificial insemination to counter the declining birth rates, including among the 2SLGBTQIA+ community. This initiative, part of the “Give Birth, Great World” campaign, underscores the government’s commitment to bolster fertility rates, ensuring inclusivity in accessing infertility treatments. The Ministry of Public Health is collaborating with international organizations like WHO, UNFPA, and UNICEF to safeguard reproductive rights, reflecting a broader strategy to address demographic challenges.

SECTORAL UPDATE 

The SET closed last week  at 1,386.27  points, down to 1.00 points (- 0.07%), trading value last Friday was  43,564.47  million baht ($US 1209.37 million.)

 
 
Currently, the Set index appears to be maintaining a sideways movement within the range of 1360 to 1426, with investors eagerly awaiting the release of official Thai GDP figures. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 48, indicating a relatively neutral sentiment among traders. Concurrently, the USD/THB pair has weakened, fluctuating within the range of 35.70 to 36.35. This dynamic suggests a delicate balance in the forex market, possibly influenced by various economic factors both domestically and internationally.
 
 
 

Local individuals are Net Buyers with foreign investors as Net sellers.

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